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It’s already happening in other parts of the nation. There’s also an apparent seasonality to the coronavirus itself, which makes it easier to spread when temperatures fall.Ī packed slate of holidays will also entice people to travel and gather, possibly to an extent not seen since the pandemic began.Īdd it all up, and you have a recipe for another potential coronavirus resurgence. While health officials have largely been optimistic that the state’s relatively high level of vaccine coverage will keep conditions from deteriorating to the devastating extent seen last fall and winter, the turning of the calendar carries a host of additional risks.Ĭolder weather, even in normally balmy parts of California, will increasingly push people to gather indoors - where the risk of coronavirus transmission is higher. Since mid-October, COVID-19 hospitalizations have risen by more than 27% in both San Bernardino and Fresno counties while in Riverside County, numbers are up by 21% over the last two weeks. San Diego County is reporting 8 Orange County, 7 L.A. Within Southern California’s most populated areas, the Inland Empire has the worst COVID-19 hospitalization rates, with San Bernardino and Riverside counties reporting respective rates of 14 and 11. Some experts believe it’s a sign of concern when COVID-19 hospitalization rates are 5 or greater for every 100,000 residents. The statewide rate is 10, and the two most populous regions have rates below that: Southern California’s rate is 8, while the Bay Area’s is 4. Of California’s five regions as defined by the state Department of Public Health, the San Joaquin Valley has the worst COVID-19 hospitalization rate, with 25 COVID-19 hospitalizations for every 100,000 residents followed by rural Northern California, which has a rate of 16 and the Greater Sacramento area, with a rate of 14.
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But, they’re only recommended for some people. Science & Medicine Is it time for your COVID-19 booster shot? We’ll help you find outĬOVID-19 vaccine boosters are now available. “We’re seeing the hospital emergency departments overwhelmed.” And they are all holding ICU patients, again, back in their emergency departments,” Lynch said. “The bigger hospitals are probably between 110% to 130% of normal capacity. But now, officials say hospitals in Fresno County, the most populous county in the region, “really have never left the crisis,” said Dan Lynch, director of the Central California Emergency Medical Services Agency. Only weeks ago, officials in the San Joaquin Valley were optimistic that trends were headed in the right direction.
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In Los Angeles, a new city rule generally requiring patrons to show proof of full vaccination to enter venues like indoor restaurants, gyms, movie theaters, and hair and nail salons went into effect Monday, but won’t be enforced until after Thanksgiving.
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Officials are hopeful that strict vaccination requirements in some of California’s most populated areas will help slow the spread of cases in the winter. Winter months people indoors and more possibilities for spread,” Gov. And each infected Californian is increasingly spreading the coronavirus to more people as of Saturday, computer models estimated that every infected Californian was spreading the virus on average to 0.96 other people if that number rises above 1, that will set the stage for further growth of the pandemic. Health officials have been warning about a potential new rise in COVID-19 in California as seniors who got their shots last winter - and haven’t received a booster shot - may start to see their immunity wane, leaving them exposed to greater risk for infection and hospitalization, and as people gather indoors more as the weather cools and the holidays approach.ĭemand for booster shots has fallen below expectation in California.
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And even some places with relatively high vaccination rates are seeing COVID-19 hospitalizations tick upward in Orange County, COVID-19 hospitalizations are up by 16% since Halloween. Hospitalizations have remained fairly flat in some areas with relatively high vaccination rates, including the San Francisco Bay Area and Los Angeles County.īut in some areas with lower vaccination rates, such as Riverside, San Bernardino and Fresno counties, conditions are deteriorating, with hospitalizations up by more than 20% in recent weeks. COVID-19 hospitalizations have risen significantly in the Inland Empire and Central Valley, bringing new concerns about whether the shift represents a precursor to a wider spike in COVID-19 in California as the winter holidays approach.Īcross the state, both cases and hospitalizations hit a plateau after months of decline.